| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
256 |
0.845 |
$216.24 |
$19.81 |
+10.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
53 |
0.945 |
$50.00 |
$-0.26 |
-0.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
79 |
0.625 |
$49.61 |
$-12.07 |
-19.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
47 |
0.735 |
$34.55 |
$-0.80 |
-2.3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.955 |
$29.55 |
$-0.15 |
-0.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.952 |
$18.66 |
$-0.11 |
-0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
31 |
0.545 |
$16.89 |
$-0.54 |
-3.1% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.999 |
$14.97 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.963 |
$13.89 |
$0.05 |
+0.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
23 |
0.585 |
$13.68 |
$0.67 |
+5.2% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
49 |
0.280 |
$13.66 |
$-1.81 |
-11.7% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.945 |
$12.99 |
$0.07 |
+0.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.345 |
$12.95 |
$-0.59 |
-4.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
19 |
0.675 |
$12.72 |
$1.70 |
+15.4% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.974 |
$12.25 |
$-0.02 |
-0.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.993 |
$12.02 |
$0.04 |
+0.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
14 |
0.715 |
$10.24 |
$0.31 |
+3.2% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.984 |
$10.05 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.973 |
$9.83 |
$-0.16 |
-1.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.775 |
$9.30 |
$5.46 |
+142.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.245 |
$8.73 |
$-1.25 |
-12.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.165 |
$7.08 |
$1.07 |
+17.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
50 |
0.125 |
$6.24 |
$-0.89 |
-12.4% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.97 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.210 |
$5.95 |
$1.13 |
+23.5% |