| Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.690 |
$68.99 |
$18.99 |
+38.0% |
| Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege |
No |
65 |
0.915 |
$59.48 |
$3.58 |
+6.4% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
60 |
0.966 |
$57.96 |
$30.96 |
+114.7% |
| Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? |
No |
60 |
0.940 |
$56.40 |
$6.00 |
+11.9% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.927 |
$55.65 |
$44.85 |
+415.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
57 |
0.971 |
$55.32 |
$30.24 |
+120.6% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.810 |
$52.65 |
$-2.60 |
-4.7% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30? |
No |
60 |
0.868 |
$52.08 |
$-1.92 |
-3.6% |
| Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.845 |
$50.70 |
$14.70 |
+40.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? |
No |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$7.97 |
+19.0% |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? |
Yes |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.98 |
$24.48 |
+96.0% |
| Will Team Heretics Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.999 |
$49.92 |
$6.92 |
+16.1% |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
60 |
0.830 |
$49.80 |
$1.20 |
+2.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
50 |
0.989 |
$49.45 |
$43.45 |
+724.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
50 |
0.987 |
$49.35 |
$40.85 |
+480.6% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? |
No |
50 |
0.985 |
$49.25 |
$10.75 |
+27.9% |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? |
No |
60 |
0.815 |
$48.89 |
$15.29 |
+45.5% |
| Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.740 |
$48.10 |
$-5.20 |
-9.8% |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? |
No |
50 |
0.955 |
$47.73 |
$18.23 |
+61.8% |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
65 |
0.730 |
$47.45 |
$2.60 |
+5.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? |
No |
50 |
0.923 |
$46.17 |
$4.67 |
+11.3% |
| Will Elon post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on X this week? |
No |
50 |
0.915 |
$45.75 |
$0.75 |
+1.7% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? |
No |
60 |
0.755 |
$45.30 |
$-5.70 |
-11.2% |
| Will Netflix win the most Emmys? |
No |
60 |
0.755 |
$45.30 |
$-0.90 |
-1.9% |
| Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.728 |
$43.68 |
$-1.92 |
-4.2% |