PnL (30d)

−$6,057

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$81

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

61W / 96L · 89 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

121W / 101L · 24 open

Trades (30d)

246

across 11 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

−$1,009.53

avg win $261 · loss $2,280

Profit Factor

0.11

$782 won / $6,839 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.9% 61W/96L	11	$95,595
🏛 Politics	—	4	$3,378

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9,051	0.931	$8,426.42	$84.02	+1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	12,308	0.615	$7,569.55	$-3,071.00	-28.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	1,000	0.981	$980.50	$30.50	+3.2%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	855	0.570	$487.39	$-59.95	-11.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	41	0.790	$32.58	$-1.65	-4.8%