| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.785 |
$863.50 |
$495.92 |
+134.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,031 |
0.455 |
$469.27 |
$25.78 |
+5.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,864 |
0.250 |
$466.05 |
$-55.93 |
-10.7% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.665 |
$266.00 |
$-22.00 |
-7.6% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026? |
No |
953 |
0.275 |
$262.10 |
$4.77 |
+1.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
324 |
0.785 |
$254.19 |
$61.77 |
+32.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
115 |
0.992 |
$114.02 |
$24.32 |
+27.1% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.220 |
$85.80 |
$-58.50 |
-40.5% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
85 |
0.925 |
$78.62 |
$22.52 |
+40.2% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,649 |
0.013 |
$60.44 |
$-312.85 |
-83.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
14 |
0.705 |
$9.57 |
$1.56 |
+19.5% |
| Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
80 |
0.100 |
$8.00 |
$-8.40 |
-51.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
275 |
0.018 |
$4.95 |
$-11.55 |
-70.0% |