| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.805 |
$885.50 |
$517.92 |
+140.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,031 |
0.455 |
$469.27 |
$25.78 |
+5.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,864 |
0.250 |
$466.05 |
$-55.93 |
-10.7% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.665 |
$266.00 |
$-22.00 |
-7.6% |
| US bank failure by December 31, 2026? |
No |
953 |
0.275 |
$262.10 |
$4.77 |
+1.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
324 |
0.795 |
$257.42 |
$65.00 |
+33.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.369 |
$147.80 |
$2.20 |
+1.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
115 |
0.998 |
$114.71 |
$25.01 |
+27.9% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.220 |
$85.80 |
$-58.50 |
-40.5% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
85 |
0.920 |
$78.20 |
$22.10 |
+39.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,649 |
0.013 |
$62.77 |
$-310.52 |
-83.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
14 |
0.710 |
$9.63 |
$1.63 |
+20.3% |
| Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
80 |
0.120 |
$9.60 |
$-6.80 |
-41.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
275 |
0.018 |
$4.95 |
$-11.55 |
-70.0% |