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Trader leaderboard/nickthechopper

nickthechopper

0xe807669773bfbf08918c61d0191fd7db12ee4d35
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$495
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
44W / 51L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
52W / 69L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
127
across 46 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$17.68
avg win $4 · loss $84
Profit Factor
0.16
$93 won / $588 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$58
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,629 · all-time $2,339,574

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.8% 5,543W/3,570L 1121 $501,677
₿ Crypto 51.4% 71W/67L 37 $2,899
🏛 Politics 35.7% 35W/63L 30 $7,173
💵 Economy 53.8% 14W/12L 23 $1,811
🎬 Culture 50.0% 8W/8L 9 $327
⚽ Sports 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $387
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 500 0.991 $495.25 $5.25 +1.1%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 536 0.890 $476.82 $142.92 +42.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 216 0.940 $202.62 $37.22 +22.5%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 190 0.930 $176.60 $29.88 +20.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 131 1.000 $131.42 $2.38 +1.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 125 0.865 $108.12 $29.53 +37.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 115 0.895 $103.27 $24.27 +30.7%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 100 0.982 $98.15 $-0.15 -0.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? No 115 0.745 $85.67 $-11.37 -11.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 60 0.949 $56.94 $0.33 +0.6%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 40 0.958 $38.24 $0.59 +1.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 40 0.835 $33.40 $2.20 +7.1%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 40 0.606 $24.22 $1.17 +5.1%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.950 $19.00 $-0.80 -4.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.904 $18.09 $-0.11 -0.6%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 15 0.980 $14.69 $0.45 +3.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 11 0.939 $10.13 $-0.27 -2.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.99 +11.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 10 0.989 $9.88 $0.15 +1.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 10 0.982 $9.81 $0.30 +3.2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 10 0.973 $9.72 $1.62 +20.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 10 0.999 $9.56 $0.11 +1.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 8 0.945 $7.36 $1.36 +22.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 7 0.900 $6.52 $1.52 +30.4%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 8 0.705 $5.97 $0.97 +19.5%