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Trader leaderboard/nickthechopper

nickthechopper

0xe807669773bfbf08918c61d0191fd7db12ee4d35
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$76
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
41W / 28L
Win Return (30d)
59%
41W / 28L
Trades (30d)
69
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.63
avg win $5 · loss $2
Profit Factor
5.53
$93 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
2.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,744 · all-time $2,339,689

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.8% 5,543W/3,570L 1121 $501,677
₿ Crypto 51.4% 71W/67L 37 $2,899
🏛 Politics 27.9% 24W/62L 28 $6,825
💵 Economy 47.8% 11W/12L 22 $1,293
🎬 Culture 50.0% 7W/7L 7 $319
⚽ Sports 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $387
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 500 0.992 $495.75 $5.75 +1.2%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 536 0.895 $479.50 $145.60 +43.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 216 0.925 $199.39 $33.99 +20.5%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 190 0.945 $179.44 $32.73 +22.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 131 1.000 $131.42 $2.38 +1.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 125 0.865 $108.12 $29.53 +37.6%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 115 0.890 $102.69 $23.69 +30.0%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 100 0.982 $98.15 $-0.15 -0.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 60 0.948 $56.88 $0.27 +0.5%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 40 0.956 $38.14 $0.49 +1.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 40 0.815 $32.60 $1.40 +4.5%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 40 0.606 $24.22 $1.17 +5.1%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 3 2026? No 20 0.950 $19.00 $-0.80 -4.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.906 $18.12 $-0.08 -0.4%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 15 0.975 $14.62 $0.37 +2.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 11 0.941 $10.15 $-0.25 -2.4%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.99 +11.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 10 0.990 $9.89 $0.16 +1.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 10 0.979 $9.79 $0.28 +2.9%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 10 0.976 $9.76 $1.66 +20.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 10 0.999 $9.56 $0.12 +1.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 8 0.950 $7.40 $1.40 +23.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 7 0.895 $6.49 $1.49 +29.7%
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No 8 0.710 $6.02 $1.02 +20.3%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? No 7 0.780 $5.74 $0.74 +14.7%