0xE8022d4Bc2a7A19826A494C9B1C8bef557Bf8191-1775807416483
0xe8022d4bc2a7a19826a494c9b1c8bef557bf8191
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$26
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-100.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 69L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 69L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
70
across 21 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.32
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $26 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,498 · all-time $159,294
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
No |
130 |
0.060 |
$7.80 |
$-4.60 |
-37.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.043 |
$4.34 |
$-0.26 |
-5.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
75 |
0.028 |
$2.06 |
$1.01 |
+96.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
200 |
0.009 |
$1.70 |
$-9.50 |
-84.8% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.255 |
$0.62 |
$0.28 |
+82.1% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
175 |
0.002 |
$0.26 |
$-0.79 |
-75.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
25 |
0.001 |
$0.01 |
$-1.74 |
-99.3% |