PnL (30d)

−$56

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$95

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-23.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

37W / 322L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

12%

44W / 324L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

369

across 95 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.62

avg win $14 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.67

$114 won / $170 lost

Reward / Risk

6.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$76

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	10.3% 37W/322L	95	$560
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/52L	11	$14
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	3	$13
🏛 Politics	—	1	$42

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	130	0.060	$7.80	$-4.60	-37.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	100	0.043	$4.29	$-0.31	-6.7%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	75	0.028	$2.06	$1.01	+96.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	200	0.004	$0.70	$-10.50	-93.7%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	2	0.255	$0.62	$0.28	+82.1%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	175	0.002	$0.26	$-0.79	-75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.001	$0.01	$-1.74	-99.3%