| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
1,658 |
0.405 |
$671.40 |
$-155.15 |
-18.8% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
558 |
0.815 |
$454.35 |
$224.63 |
+97.8% |
| Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? |
Yes |
689 |
0.565 |
$389.26 |
$-16.40 |
-4.0% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
332 |
0.815 |
$270.92 |
$113.04 |
+71.6% |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? |
Yes |
438 |
0.456 |
$199.71 |
$69.35 |
+53.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? |
Yes |
317 |
0.585 |
$185.37 |
$3.12 |
+1.7% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
272 |
0.680 |
$184.96 |
$38.08 |
+25.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
244 |
0.540 |
$131.94 |
$42.30 |
+47.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
266 |
0.470 |
$125.23 |
$-60.68 |
-32.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
830 |
0.145 |
$120.35 |
$24.45 |
+25.5% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
144 |
0.795 |
$114.48 |
$25.48 |
+28.6% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.545 |
$114.26 |
$38.79 |
+51.4% |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
200 |
0.565 |
$112.98 |
$-21.02 |
-15.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
100 |
0.989 |
$98.90 |
$85.90 |
+660.8% |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
Yes |
119 |
0.828 |
$98.40 |
$45.41 |
+85.7% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$47.00 |
+102.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
Yes |
439 |
0.210 |
$92.18 |
$0.22 |
+0.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
120 |
0.745 |
$89.58 |
$14.55 |
+19.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
506 |
0.165 |
$83.46 |
$11.53 |
+16.0% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
100 |
0.820 |
$82.00 |
$18.00 |
+28.1% |
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? |
Yes |
554 |
0.145 |
$80.30 |
$7.18 |
+9.8% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
100 |
0.800 |
$80.00 |
$15.00 |
+23.1% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
98 |
0.800 |
$78.44 |
$3.91 |
+5.3% |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.785 |
$78.19 |
$5.65 |
+7.8% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? |
No |
169 |
0.445 |
$75.40 |
$9.32 |
+14.1% |