| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? |
Yes |
1,658 |
0.405 |
$671.40 |
$-155.15 |
-18.8% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
558 |
0.835 |
$465.55 |
$235.84 |
+102.7% |
| Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? |
Yes |
689 |
0.565 |
$389.26 |
$-16.40 |
-4.0% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
332 |
0.775 |
$257.66 |
$99.78 |
+63.2% |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? |
Yes |
438 |
0.456 |
$199.71 |
$69.35 |
+53.2% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
272 |
0.690 |
$187.65 |
$40.77 |
+27.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? |
Yes |
317 |
0.585 |
$185.37 |
$3.12 |
+1.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
244 |
0.539 |
$131.69 |
$42.05 |
+46.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
266 |
0.475 |
$126.56 |
$-59.35 |
-31.9% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.545 |
$114.26 |
$38.79 |
+51.4% |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
200 |
0.570 |
$113.98 |
$-20.02 |
-14.9% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
144 |
0.790 |
$113.76 |
$24.76 |
+27.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
830 |
0.135 |
$112.05 |
$16.15 |
+16.8% |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
Yes |
119 |
0.874 |
$103.87 |
$50.87 |
+96.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? |
Yes |
100 |
0.991 |
$99.10 |
$86.10 |
+662.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? |
Yes |
439 |
0.215 |
$94.37 |
$2.42 |
+2.6% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.915 |
$91.50 |
$45.50 |
+98.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
120 |
0.745 |
$89.58 |
$14.55 |
+19.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
506 |
0.165 |
$83.46 |
$11.53 |
+16.0% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
100 |
0.810 |
$81.00 |
$17.00 |
+26.6% |
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? |
Yes |
554 |
0.145 |
$80.30 |
$7.18 |
+9.8% |
| Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? |
Yes |
100 |
0.795 |
$79.50 |
$14.50 |
+22.3% |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
No |
98 |
0.800 |
$78.44 |
$3.91 |
+5.3% |
| Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.785 |
$78.19 |
$5.65 |
+7.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
268 |
0.278 |
$74.46 |
$16.41 |
+28.3% |