PnL (30d)

+$184

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$176

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

644W / 842L · 81 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

665W / 900L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,567

across 61 markets · ~26 per market

EV / position

+$3.47

avg win $84 · loss $50

Profit Factor

1.12

$1,770 won / $1,586 lost

Reward / Risk

1.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$961

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.9% 1,549W/2,063L	133	$79,479
🏛 Politics	31.2% 142W/313L	26	$11,041
🎬 Culture	31.2% 142W/313L	26	$11,041

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	453	0.545	$246.69	$-48.25	-16.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,051	0.189	$198.18	$71.99	+57.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,081	0.080	$85.92	$-7.42	-8.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	385	0.135	$52.03	$9.98	+23.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	28	0.735	$20.74	$-1.38	-6.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	321	0.028	$8.82	$-7.09	-44.5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	270	0.026	$7.16	$-87.16	-92.4%