PnL (30d)

−$282

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$195

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

1,549W / 2,063L · 138 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

1,585W / 2,163L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

3,750

across 133 markets · ~28 per market

EV / position

−$2.35

avg win $77 · loss $61

Profit Factor

0.93

$3,940 won / $4,222 lost

Reward / Risk

1.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,690

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	42.9% 1,549W/2,063L	133	$79,479
🏛 Politics	31.4% 148W/324L	28	$11,146
🎬 Culture	31.4% 148W/324L	28	$11,146

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	453	0.585	$264.79	$-30.14	-10.2%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,051	0.179	$188.72	$62.53	+49.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,081	0.081	$87.00	$-6.34	-6.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	385	0.125	$48.18	$6.12	+14.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	28	0.755	$21.31	$-0.81	-3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	321	0.025	$8.15	$-7.76	-48.8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	270	0.028	$7.43	$-86.89	-92.1%