| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
1,367 |
0.715 |
$977.53 |
$142.99 |
+17.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,114 |
0.358 |
$398.93 |
$-17.59 |
-4.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? |
Yes |
336 |
0.803 |
$270.04 |
$85.08 |
+46.0% |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? |
No |
879 |
0.200 |
$175.72 |
$-307.22 |
-63.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
111 |
0.460 |
$51.11 |
$-18.55 |
-26.6% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.775 |
$50.22 |
$8.25 |
+19.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? |
Yes |
30 |
0.880 |
$26.79 |
$3.35 |
+14.3% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? |
Yes |
200 |
0.132 |
$26.30 |
$12.30 |
+87.9% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
480 |
0.042 |
$19.92 |
$-16.88 |
-45.9% |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.619 |
$12.17 |
$3.50 |
+40.3% |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9? |
Yes |
234 |
0.045 |
$10.55 |
$4.03 |
+61.7% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.230 |
$5.59 |
$-1.46 |
-20.7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
53 |
0.074 |
$3.95 |
$-11.24 |
-74.0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.054 |
$2.73 |
$0.67 |
+32.9% |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8? |
Yes |
89 |
0.017 |
$1.51 |
$-10.46 |
-87.3% |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more? |
Yes |
7 |
0.025 |
$0.18 |
$-0.01 |
-3.9% |
| Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? |
Yes |
2 |
0.075 |
$0.15 |
$-0.85 |
-84.7% |