PnL (30d)

−$25

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$61

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 4L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

14%

1W / 6L

Trades (30d)

7

across 3 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$25.26

· loss $25

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $25 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.6% 280W/190L	113	$54,928
🏛 Politics	75.0% 9W/3L	10	$2,517
🎬 Culture	22.2% 6W/21L	3	$2,676
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	1	$772

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	1,367	0.715	$977.53	$142.99	+17.1%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	1,114	0.353	$393.92	$-22.60	-5.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	336	0.785	$263.99	$79.03	+42.7%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	879	0.205	$180.11	$-302.82	-62.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	111	0.465	$51.66	$-18.00	-25.8%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	No	65	0.700	$45.36	$3.39	+8.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	Yes	30	0.880	$26.79	$3.35	+14.3%
Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	200	0.131	$26.10	$12.10	+86.4%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	480	0.035	$16.99	$-19.81	-53.8%
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.618	$12.16	$3.49	+40.2%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24	0.230	$5.59	$-1.46	-20.7%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?	Yes	234	0.022	$5.28	$-1.25	-19.2%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	53	0.073	$3.87	$-11.32	-74.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	50	0.054	$2.70	$0.65	+31.7%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?	Yes	89	0.017	$1.51	$-10.46	-87.3%
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be 12 or more?	Yes	7	0.025	$0.18	$-0.01	-5.4%
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	2	0.075	$0.15	$-0.85	-84.7%