PnL (30d)

−$72

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

52W / 136L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

58W / 136L

Trades (30d)

194

across 10 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

−$7.99

avg win $84 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.70

$169 won / $241 lost

Reward / Risk

2.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$231

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.5% 189W/236L	34	$4,655
🏛 Politics	50.4% 68W/67L	7	$1,798
🎬 Culture	46.7% 35W/40L	3	$1,334
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	2	$745
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	2	$745

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	585	0.024	$13.74	$1.25	+10.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?	Yes	780	0.011	$8.58	$2.15	+33.3%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?	Yes	591	0.002	$1.18	$-0.24	-16.7%