PnL (30d)

+$257

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+11.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

189W / 236L · 47 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

195W / 277L

Trades (30d)

472

across 34 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$8.58

avg win $53 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.78

$588 won / $330 lost

Reward / Risk

3.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$268

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.5% 189W/236L	34	$4,655
🏛 Politics	53.5% 77W/67L	7	$1,820
🎬 Culture	46.7% 35W/40L	3	$1,334
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	2	$745
💵 Economy	100.0% 4W/0L	2	$745

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	1,752	0.025	$43.80	$6.61	+17.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.007	$7.00	$-1.25	-15.1%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?	Yes	639	0.001	$0.32	$-1.22	-79.2%