VFALL
0xe5dcd52630848fd7803cd13c09208e8876f835f9
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$79
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
6W / 0L
Trades (30d)
6
across 2 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$79.25
avg win $79
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,661 · all-time $4,232,054
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
1,267 |
0.930 |
$1,178.22 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
434 |
0.950 |
$412.18 |
$26.03 |
+6.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
448 |
0.895 |
$401.03 |
$60.49 |
+17.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
666 |
0.557 |
$370.97 |
$-149.85 |
-28.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.870 |
$144.87 |
$40.41 |
+38.7% |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? |
No |
197 |
0.730 |
$143.64 |
$-13.77 |
-8.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.650 |
$46.15 |
$2.13 |
+4.8% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.920 |
$35.54 |
$7.73 |
+27.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.780 |
$12.48 |
$6.08 |
+95.0% |