VFALL
0xe5dcd52630848fd7803cd13c09208e8876f835f9
PnL (30d)
+$760
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$828
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
688W / 210L · 238 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
802W / 334L
Trades (30d)
1,136
across 95 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$9.63
avg win $68 · loss $188
Profit Factor
1.22
$4,149 won / $3,389 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$638
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,086 · all-time $4,231,480
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
934 |
0.950 |
$887.21 |
$18.68 |
+2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
434 |
0.945 |
$410.01 |
$23.86 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
448 |
0.895 |
$401.03 |
$60.49 |
+17.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
666 |
0.531 |
$353.99 |
$-166.84 |
-32.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.870 |
$144.87 |
$40.41 |
+38.7% |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? |
No |
197 |
0.730 |
$143.64 |
$-13.77 |
-8.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.640 |
$45.44 |
$1.42 |
+3.2% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
39 |
0.920 |
$35.54 |
$7.73 |
+27.8% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.780 |
$12.48 |
$6.08 |
+95.0% |