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Trader leaderboard/Camal

Camal

0xe5bd6db81668c0e5f0209b371b7a2b5459a6f03e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$337
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$44
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
66W / 133L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
82W / 170L
Trades (30d)
252
across 31 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$16.83
avg win $70 · loss $36
Profit Factor
1.92
$701 won / $365 lost
Reward / Risk
1.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$375
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,398 · all-time $923,133

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.2% 249W/257L 111 $34,089
🏛 Politics 34.0% 55W/107L 20 $18,493
💵 Economy 23.1% 9W/30L 7 $11,207
🎬 Culture 71.7% 38W/15L 7 $1,186
⚽ Sports 57.6% 19W/14L 7 $196

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 800 0.465 $372.00 $-43.00 -10.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 605 0.250 $151.25 $-14.69 -8.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 2,264 0.051 $115.26 $-32.43 -22.0%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 486 0.130 $63.18 $-19.90 -24.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 100 0.625 $62.50 $-4.50 -6.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 100 0.604 $60.40 $-4.88 -7.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 60 0.910 $54.60 $10.20 +23.0%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 50 0.987 $49.35 $0.45 +0.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 50 0.775 $38.75 $4.25 +12.3%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? Yes 372 0.103 $38.30 $34.92 +1034.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.365 $36.50 $3.50 +10.6%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 40 0.825 $33.00 $0.60 +1.9%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No 40 0.815 $32.60 $0.60 +1.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 40 0.790 $31.60 $2.40 +8.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 40 0.655 $26.20 $1.00 +4.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 50 0.458 $22.90 $4.10 +21.8%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? No 120 0.190 $22.80 $-31.49 -58.0%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 20 1.000 $19.99 $14.79 +284.4%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? No 325 0.033 $10.56 $6.99 +195.5%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 900 0.004 $3.15 $-2.25 -41.7%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01? Yes 105 0.023 $2.41 $1.67 +228.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 600 0.004 $2.10 $-16.30 -88.6%