PnL (30d)

+$743

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$203

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

249W / 257L · 201 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

305W / 395L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

707

across 111 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$10.04

avg win $33 · loss $19

Profit Factor

2.18

$1,373 won / $630 lost

Reward / Risk

1.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$332

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.2% 249W/257L	111	$34,089
🏛 Politics	34.0% 55W/107L	20	$18,493
💵 Economy	23.1% 9W/30L	7	$11,207
🎬 Culture	71.7% 38W/15L	7	$1,186
⚽ Sports	57.6% 19W/14L	7	$196

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	800	0.475	$380.00	$-35.00	-8.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	605	0.245	$148.23	$-17.71	-10.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2,264	0.051	$115.26	$-32.43	-22.0%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	100	0.625	$62.50	$-4.50	-6.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	100	0.606	$60.55	$-4.73	-7.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	486	0.120	$58.32	$-24.76	-29.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	60	0.935	$56.10	$11.70	+26.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	50	0.987	$49.33	$0.42	+0.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	50	0.785	$39.25	$4.75	+13.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.355	$35.50	$2.50	+7.6%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?	Yes	40	0.825	$33.00	$0.60	+1.9%
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	40	0.815	$32.60	$0.60	+1.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	40	0.785	$31.40	$2.20	+7.5%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?	No	120	0.245	$29.39	$-24.89	-45.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	50	0.540	$27.02	$8.22	+43.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	40	0.655	$26.20	$1.00	+4.0%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	372	0.028	$10.41	$7.03	+208.3%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?	No	325	0.015	$5.04	$1.46	+40.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	900	0.003	$2.70	$-2.70	-50.0%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	105	0.021	$2.24	$1.51	+205.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	600	0.003	$1.50	$-16.90	-91.8%