PnL (30d)

−$287

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$72

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

538W / 353L · 53 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

557W / 382L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

944

across 298 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$1.03

avg win $8 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.78

$1,001 won / $1,289 lost

Reward / Risk

0.96

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$318

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.8% 2,283W/1,241L	1171	$21,383
🌤 Weather	45.4% 142W/171L	138	$2,301

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	35	0.975	$33.95	$18.95	+126.4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	35	0.715	$24.95	$9.96	+66.4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	37	0.610	$22.83	$7.84	+52.3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.755	$21.28	$6.28	+41.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	39	0.485	$18.86	$3.86	+25.7%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	43	0.435	$18.64	$3.64	+24.3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	39	0.475	$18.58	$3.59	+23.9%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?	Yes	33	0.565	$18.40	$3.42	+22.8%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	40	0.420	$16.72	$1.73	+11.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	41	0.400	$16.47	$1.47	+9.8%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?	Yes	34	0.475	$16.25	$1.26	+8.4%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	25	0.625	$15.62	$0.62	+4.2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	34	0.450	$15.44	$0.44	+3.0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5?	Yes	29	0.525	$15.24	$0.24	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	30	0.495	$14.94	$-0.05	-0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	40	0.370	$14.81	$-0.18	-1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	28	0.515	$14.29	$-0.69	-4.6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	32	0.410	$13.17	$-1.82	-12.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	23	0.470	$10.92	$0.93	+9.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	12	0.430	$5.17	$0.17	+3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	12	0.400	$4.65	$-0.35	-7.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	45	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	39	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.9%