PnL (30d)

−$339

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

2,283W / 1,241L · 218 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

2,390W / 1,338L · 14 open

Trades (30d)

3,742

across 1,171 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$0.31

avg win $8 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.92

$4,102 won / $4,442 lost

Reward / Risk

0.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$327

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.8% 2,283W/1,241L	1171	$21,383
🌤 Weather	45.4% 142W/171L	138	$2,301

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	31	0.960	$29.56	$14.58	+97.3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	35	0.730	$25.42	$10.42	+69.5%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	35	0.705	$24.60	$9.61	+64.1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	37	0.620	$23.21	$8.21	+54.7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	41	0.470	$19.35	$4.36	+29.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	39	0.490	$19.05	$4.05	+27.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	39	0.485	$18.97	$3.98	+26.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 6?	Yes	43	0.435	$18.64	$3.64	+24.3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?	Yes	33	0.545	$17.76	$2.77	+18.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	40	0.430	$17.12	$2.13	+14.2%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?	Yes	34	0.490	$16.81	$1.81	+12.1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6?	Yes	34	0.465	$15.91	$0.92	+6.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	25	0.610	$15.24	$0.25	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	40	0.375	$15.01	$0.02	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	30	0.495	$14.94	$-0.05	-0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5?	Yes	28	0.530	$14.71	$-0.28	-1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5?	Yes	29	0.495	$14.36	$-0.63	-4.2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	32	0.405	$13.01	$-1.98	-13.2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	28	0.425	$11.98	$-3.02	-20.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	23	0.470	$10.92	$0.93	+9.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	12	0.415	$4.99	$-0.01	-0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	12	0.405	$4.71	$-0.29	-5.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	45	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.001	$0.02	$-14.97	-99.9%