hobo69
0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$55
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
7%
1W / 13L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
9W / 13L
Trades (30d)
22
across 5 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$18.28
avg win $17 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.24
$17 won / $72 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $137,792 · all-time $4,436,542
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
1,003 |
0.870 |
$873.01 |
$228.52 |
+35.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.095 |
$475.00 |
$-875.00 |
-64.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
1,614 |
0.185 |
$298.59 |
$-422.08 |
-58.6% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
6,639 |
0.022 |
$149.38 |
$-1,821.14 |
-92.4% |
| Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? |
Yes |
63 |
0.804 |
$50.65 |
$-1.32 |
-2.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.155 |
$46.50 |
$-130.50 |
-73.7% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.988 |
$14.84 |
$14.25 |
+2433.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET |
Up |
23 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-5.00 |
-100.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET |
Up |
29 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-3.09 |
-100.0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET |
Down |
13 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100.0% |