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Trader leaderboard/hobo69

hobo69

0xe54d37c9c12e5fd3d684ff4d193ef1f44dabfdec
PnL (30d)
−$10,650
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,659
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
58%
1,691W / 1,218L · 105 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
1,738W / 1,272L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
3,014
across 577 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$18.98
avg win $122 · loss $222
Profit Factor
0.79
$40,346 won / $50,995 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3,140
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $135,083 · all-time $4,433,833

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.1% 1,691W/1,218L 577 $585,867
⚽ Sports 55.4% 323W/260L 199 $96,218
🏛 Politics 1 $1,570

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 1,500 0.870 $1,304.99 $341.60 +35.5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 701 0.845 $592.17 $16.54 +2.9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 5,000 0.095 $475.00 $-875.00 -64.8%
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Ella Seidel Gabriela Knutson 500 0.935 $467.50 $122.50 +35.5%
Set Handicap: Barthel (-1.5) vs Kubka (+1.5) Kubka 500 0.825 $412.50 $12.50 +3.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 1,614 0.215 $347.01 $-373.66 -51.8%
Set Handicap: Wallberg (-1.5) vs Encheva (+1.5) Encheva 300 0.500 $150.00 $-21.00 -12.3%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 6,639 0.021 $142.08 $-1,828.45 -92.8%
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes 63 0.804 $50.68 $-1.29 -2.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 300 0.155 $46.50 $-130.50 -73.7%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 46 0.994 $45.67 $16.72 +57.8%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 15 0.997 $14.97 $14.38 +2456.4%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 500 0.001 $0.25 $-201.75 -99.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 23 0.000 $0.00 $-5.00 -100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 29 0.000 $0.00 $-3.09 -100.0%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner Kiwoom DRX Challengers 700 0.000 $0.00 $-28.00 -100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 13 0.000 $0.00 $-10.00 -100.0%