| Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026? |
No |
1,245 |
0.977 |
$1,215.99 |
$202.46 |
+20.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? |
No |
1,713 |
0.665 |
$1,138.92 |
$18.31 |
+1.6% |
| Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? |
Yes |
1,030 |
0.971 |
$999.91 |
$265.31 |
+36.1% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
2,213 |
0.330 |
$730.30 |
$-108.79 |
-13.0% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? |
Yes |
866 |
0.728 |
$629.91 |
$-187.40 |
-22.9% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? |
Yes |
1,285 |
0.490 |
$629.65 |
$174.45 |
+38.3% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
1,872 |
0.285 |
$533.28 |
$-156.71 |
-22.7% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
828 |
0.515 |
$426.24 |
$6.37 |
+1.5% |
| Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
420 |
0.962 |
$403.83 |
$34.23 |
+9.3% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? |
No |
774 |
0.495 |
$383.14 |
$91.19 |
+31.2% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? |
No |
307 |
0.904 |
$277.65 |
$13.01 |
+4.9% |
| Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? |
No |
258 |
0.983 |
$253.76 |
$14.20 |
+5.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.245 |
$245.00 |
$-15.00 |
-5.8% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
No |
753 |
0.240 |
$180.70 |
$46.59 |
+34.7% |
| Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík? |
Yes |
433 |
0.405 |
$175.35 |
$-69.47 |
-28.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
774 |
0.225 |
$174.15 |
$-51.74 |
-22.9% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.670 |
$134.00 |
$106.00 |
+378.6% |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
No |
1,300 |
0.100 |
$130.02 |
$-89.74 |
-40.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.115 |
$115.00 |
$-85.00 |
-42.5% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July? |
No |
155 |
0.695 |
$107.71 |
$7.41 |
+7.4% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? |
Yes |
199 |
0.460 |
$91.32 |
$49.21 |
+116.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.043 |
$85.00 |
$-55.00 |
-39.3% |
| Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.335 |
$83.75 |
$-106.25 |
-55.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.265 |
$79.50 |
$10.50 |
+15.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
122 |
0.625 |
$76.39 |
$-32.39 |
-29.8% |