Geopolitician008
0xe35da822997dd3aeb1d7304d0d807c63d9110de2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$128
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
82W / 20L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
83W / 23L
Trades (30d)
106
across 41 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$3.28
avg win $9 · loss $40
Profit Factor
0.68
$267 won / $395 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$218
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,697 · all-time $151,545
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.983 |
$393.00 |
$2.60 |
+0.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7? |
No |
316 |
0.976 |
$308.42 |
$-0.63 |
-0.2% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
425 |
0.590 |
$250.76 |
$4.25 |
+1.7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7? |
Yes |
212 |
0.994 |
$210.62 |
$1.59 |
+0.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.983 |
$196.60 |
$4.60 |
+2.4% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
69 |
0.365 |
$25.27 |
$1.04 |
+4.3% |