PnL (30d)

+$43

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

299W / 57L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

306W / 57L

Trades (30d)

363

across 94 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.46

avg win $11 · loss $30

Profit Factor

1.06

$741 won / $698 lost

Reward / Risk

0.35

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$201

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.0% 299W/57L	94	$44,777
🏛 Politics	66.7% 12W/6L	9	$3,580
🎬 Culture	66.7% 12W/6L	9	$3,580
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$194
⚽ Sports	—	1	$189

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	400	0.981	$392.20	$1.80	+0.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?	Yes	212	0.992	$210.30	$1.27	+0.6%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	557	0.355	$197.86	$2.79	+1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	200	0.985	$197.00	$5.00	+2.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7?	No	151	0.970	$146.47	$-0.71	-0.5%