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Trader leaderboard/Anon321321

Anon321321

0xe3479950ef6e8984df109ec5c9be40630f9fb438
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$166
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
8W / 2L · 83 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
50W / 43L
Trades (30d)
93
across 28 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.54
avg win $1 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.56
$6 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,249 · all-time $4,611,505

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 82.3% 2,338W/503L 2403 $119,310
🏛 Politics 80.6% 100W/24L 200 $5,314
⚽ Sports 72.0% 59W/23L 112 $3,445
🎬 Culture 86.4% 108W/17L 86 $2,984
💵 Economy 74.1% 20W/7L 82 $1,227
🤖 Tech 22 $235
🔬 Science 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $71
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 643 0.414 $266.61 $159.41 +148.7%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 579 0.325 $188.25 $91.71 +95.0%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 643 0.105 $67.54 $-39.66 -37.0%
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05? No 68 0.795 $53.92 $-2.37 -4.2%
Will Apóllon Lemesoú vs. KKS Czarni Sosnowiec end in a draw? No 68 0.770 $52.23 $-3.51 -6.3%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes 49 0.875 $42.88 $40.65 +1825.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No 76 0.555 $42.42 $3.44 +8.8%
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 643 0.065 $41.81 $-65.39 -61.0%
Will Emily Berge be the WI-03 Democratic nominee? No 31 0.956 $30.08 $0.20 +0.7%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? Yes 66 0.435 $28.74 $15.54 +117.7%
Will KKS Czarni Sosnowiec win on 2026-08-05? No 68 0.420 $28.49 $8.93 +45.6%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No 28 0.926 $25.93 $0.14 +0.5%
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No 30 0.865 $25.78 $1.95 +8.2%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 194 0.115 $22.30 $10.89 +95.5%
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? No 20 0.984 $19.66 $-0.06 -0.3%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? Yes 40 0.373 $14.79 $6.87 +86.7%
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 239 0.055 $13.14 $-0.91 -6.5%
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 156 0.075 $11.73 $2.53 +27.5%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 37 0.315 $11.70 $10.75 +1128.5%
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes 155 0.075 $11.61 $2.50 +27.5%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 70 and 80 minutes long? Yes 52 0.185 $9.55 $3.10 +48.0%
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? Yes 80 0.115 $9.18 $-2.22 -19.5%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks last 80 minutes or longer? Yes 52 0.170 $8.78 $2.32 +36.0%
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? Yes 125 0.060 $7.50 $-13.33 -64.0%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 60 and 70 minutes long? Yes 41 0.175 $7.09 $2.03 +40.0%