PnL (30d)

−$944

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$372

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

2,338W / 503L · 2,889 open

Win Return (30d)

68%

3,800W / 1,802L · 128 open

Trades (30d)

5,730

across 2,403 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.77

avg win $8 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.89

$8,007 won / $8,952 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$399

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.3% 2,338W/503L	2403	$119,310
🏛 Politics	80.6% 100W/24L	200	$5,314
⚽ Sports	72.0% 59W/23L	112	$3,445
🎬 Culture	86.4% 108W/17L	86	$2,984
💵 Economy	74.1% 20W/7L	82	$1,227
🤖 Tech	—	22	$235
🔬 Science	100.0% 1W/0L	5	$71
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	643	0.414	$266.61	$159.41	+148.7%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	579	0.330	$191.15	$94.61	+98.0%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	643	0.105	$67.54	$-39.66	-37.0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	49	0.875	$42.88	$40.65	+1825.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	76	0.550	$42.04	$3.06	+7.8%
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	643	0.060	$38.59	$-68.61	-64.0%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	66	0.436	$28.81	$15.61	+118.2%
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	No	28	0.945	$26.45	$0.66	+2.6%
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	30	0.865	$25.78	$1.95	+8.2%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	194	0.115	$22.30	$10.89	+95.5%
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	20	0.984	$19.67	$-0.05	-0.3%
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?	Yes	51	0.374	$18.92	$8.82	+87.2%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	60	0.315	$18.76	$17.23	+1128.5%
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	239	0.055	$13.14	$-0.91	-6.5%
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	156	0.075	$11.73	$2.53	+27.5%
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Yes	155	0.075	$11.61	$2.50	+27.5%
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	125	0.080	$10.00	$-10.83	-52.0%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 70 and 80 minutes long?	Yes	52	0.185	$9.55	$3.10	+48.0%
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	80	0.117	$9.38	$-2.02	-17.7%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks last 80 minutes or longer?	Yes	52	0.170	$8.78	$2.32	+36.0%
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 60 and 70 minutes long?	Yes	41	0.175	$7.09	$2.03	+40.0%
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	18	0.360	$6.58	$2.01	+44.0%
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	52	0.125	$6.55	$4.05	+162.5%
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	243	0.020	$4.86	$-35.67	-88.0%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	14	0.320	$4.32	$3.96	+1084.0%