ExcaIibur
0xe2bfd02d9977bb53e5b9abf6e70b49264d0f75b5
PnL (30d)
−$10,405
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$458
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
42W / 207L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
18%
50W / 235L
Trades (30d)
285
across 62 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$200.10
avg win $90 · loss $329
Profit Factor
0.12
$1,435 won / $11,840 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$59
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $21 · all-time $595,232
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
16.9%
42W/207L
|
62 |
$84,299 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/1L
|
3 |
$261 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
614 |
0.290 |
$178.03 |
$-289.78 |
-61.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
125 |
0.705 |
$88.38 |
$34.08 |
+62.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.230 |
$34.50 |
$-12.00 |
-25.8% |