Dar1us
0xe278e3c172e37d91190476012625829008f0b608
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,093
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$337
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
5W / 1L · 22 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
9W / 12L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
28
across 7 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$364.38
avg win $567 · loss $40
Profit Factor
28.33
$1,133 won / $40 lost
Reward / Risk
14.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,528 · all-time $5,866,423
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
6,102 |
0.996 |
$6,077.45 |
$842.54 |
+16.1% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
1,747 |
0.900 |
$1,572.46 |
$13.50 |
+0.9% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
1,123 |
0.971 |
$1,090.07 |
$45.49 |
+4.4% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
198 |
0.520 |
$102.72 |
$-48.65 |
-32.1% |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.141 |
$4.28 |
$-3.34 |
-43.8% |