PnL (30d)

−$17,501

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$283

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

209W / 41L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

213W / 52L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

272

across 27 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

−$760.93

avg win $532 · loss $2,442

Profit Factor

0.28

$6,919 won / $24,420 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,600

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.6% 209W/41L	27	$144,213
🏛 Politics	—	1	$698
💵 Economy	—	1	$698

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	6,102	0.997	$6,083.56	$848.64	+16.2%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?	No	1,747	0.900	$1,572.46	$13.50	+0.9%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?	No	1,123	0.971	$1,090.07	$45.49	+4.4%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	198	0.520	$102.72	$-48.65	-32.1%
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	30	0.141	$4.28	$-3.34	-43.8%