| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
44,404 |
0.790 |
$35,101.14 |
$12,899.28 |
+58.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
33,164 |
0.835 |
$27,691.75 |
$-63.84 |
-0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
128,763 |
0.165 |
$21,245.89 |
$4,554.22 |
+27.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.675 |
$13,500.33 |
$2,058.71 |
+18.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.445 |
$13,349.97 |
$-91.53 |
-0.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
15,000 |
0.715 |
$10,725.00 |
$1,334.67 |
+14.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
12,031 |
0.785 |
$9,444.19 |
$2,614.67 |
+38.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
44,404 |
0.209 |
$9,302.58 |
$-12,899.28 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
8,016 |
0.985 |
$7,895.34 |
$185.45 |
+2.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
25,008 |
0.305 |
$7,627.44 |
$2,253.55 |
+41.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7,043 |
0.999 |
$7,032.13 |
$56.72 |
+0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
16,029 |
0.385 |
$6,171.01 |
$-769.97 |
-11.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,000 |
0.875 |
$4,375.00 |
$75.00 |
+1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
4,000 |
1.000 |
$3,998.00 |
$10.01 |
+0.3% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
4,000 |
0.955 |
$3,820.00 |
$20.00 |
+0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.470 |
$3,760.19 |
$1,718.14 |
+84.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
9,000 |
0.375 |
$3,375.06 |
$218.83 |
+6.9% |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? |
No |
3,234 |
0.969 |
$3,132.08 |
$14.03 |
+0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
8,000 |
0.375 |
$3,000.00 |
$40.00 |
+1.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
92,465 |
0.032 |
$2,958.87 |
$578.83 |
+24.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
3,288 |
0.825 |
$2,712.58 |
$516.57 |
+23.5% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31? |
No |
2,051 |
0.969 |
$1,987.02 |
$0.15 |
+0.0% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
2,000 |
0.980 |
$1,959.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.975 |
$1,949.00 |
$19.00 |
+1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2,130 |
0.855 |
$1,820.84 |
$192.74 |
+11.8% |