PnL (30d)

−$11

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

16W / 37L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

16W / 39L · 13 open

Trades (30d)

68

across 17 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.07

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.07

$1 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

0.30

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.9% 988W/2,435L	740	$1,392
₿ Crypto	13.1% 80W/530L	158	$28
⚽ Sports	39.0% 16W/25L	14	$59
🏛 Politics	38.8% 144W/227L	10	$169
🎬 Culture	38.8% 144W/227L	10	$169

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	774	0.002	$1.16	$-1.23	-51.5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	19	0.029	$0.54	$-0.29	-35.3%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	12	0.015	$0.18	$-0.00	-1.7%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	12	0.006	$0.08	$-0.24	-75.5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	12	0.004	$0.04	$-0.14	-77.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	4	0.006	$0.03	$0.02	+116.2%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	11	0.003	$0.03	$-0.01	-16.7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5AM ET	Down	24	0.000	$0.00	$-0.80	-100.0%
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Up	4	0.000	$0.00	$-0.04	-100.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Up	6	0.000	$0.00	$-0.06	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Down	28	0.000	$0.00	$-0.09	-100.0%