PnL (30d)

−$19

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

145W / 313L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

145W / 329L

Trades (30d)

474

across 22 markets · ~22 per market

EV / position

−$0.88

avg win $6 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.63

$32 won / $50 lost

Reward / Risk

2.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	29.4% 1,024W/2,457L	747	$1,409
₿ Crypto	13.4% 85W/548L	165	$45
⚽ Sports	39.0% 16W/25L	14	$59
🏛 Politics	38.8% 144W/227L	10	$169
🎬 Culture	38.8% 144W/227L	10	$169

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	877	0.001	$0.44	$-1.68	-79.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	58	0.003	$0.15	$-0.85	-85.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	41	0.004	$0.14	$-0.70	-82.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5AM ET	Down	24	0.000	$0.00	$-0.80	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8AM ET	Down	23	0.000	$0.00	$-0.35	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.02	-99.6%
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Up	4	0.000	$0.00	$-0.04	-100.0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 8AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.02	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET	Down	12	0.000	$0.00	$-0.01	-100.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Up	6	0.000	$0.00	$-0.06	-100.0%
BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.02	-99.6%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.02	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	12	0.000	$0.00	$-0.18	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.03	-99.7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.02	-100.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	23	0.000	$0.00	$-0.35	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	23	0.000	$0.00	$-0.35	-100.0%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 4AM ET	Down	28	0.000	$0.00	$-0.09	-100.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET	Up	4	0.000	$0.00	$-0.01	-99.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8AM ET	Down	12	0.000	$0.00	$-0.18	-99.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.03	-100.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET	Up	12	0.000	$0.00	$-0.18	-100.0%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 9AM ET	Down	11	0.000	$0.00	$-0.03	-100.0%