PnL (30d)

−$186

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

7W / 5L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

24W / 13L

Trades (30d)

37

across 17 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$93.11

avg win $11 · loss $197

Profit Factor

0.05

$11 won / $197 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.3% 7W/5L	17	$25,160
🏛 Politics	—	2	$42
₿ Crypto	100.0% 7W/0L	2	$11,824
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	2	$11,824

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	1,298	0.996	$1,292.43	$8.98	+0.7%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.003	$160.01	$-244.30	-60.4%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.002	$96.01	$-308.31	-76.3%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.002	$96.01	$-308.31	-76.3%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.002	$96.01	$-308.31	-76.3%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.002	$96.01	$-308.31	-76.3%
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64,004	0.002	$96.01	$-308.31	-76.3%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	50	0.915	$45.70	$2.25	+5.2%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.002	$31.50	$-101.75	-76.4%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,515	0.002	$24.77	$-104.24	-80.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	25	0.977	$24.42	$0.66	+2.8%