| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.875 |
$17,500.01 |
$6,250.02 |
+55.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
13,467 |
0.906 |
$12,201.44 |
$4,503.21 |
+58.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
6,868 |
0.978 |
$6,713.47 |
$3,279.47 |
+95.5% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
4,969 |
0.973 |
$4,832.43 |
$2,910.54 |
+151.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
2,500 |
0.723 |
$1,806.25 |
$306.25 |
+20.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
2,810 |
0.615 |
$1,728.12 |
$534.25 |
+44.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,610 |
0.261 |
$1,461.30 |
$372.11 |
+34.2% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? |
No |
1,605 |
0.726 |
$1,165.28 |
$-25.48 |
-2.1% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,208 |
0.915 |
$1,105.62 |
$723.12 |
+189.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.615 |
$922.51 |
$856.09 |
+1288.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$915.50 |
$415.50 |
+83.1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
3,283 |
0.225 |
$738.60 |
$171.64 |
+30.3% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.189 |
$659.73 |
$353.52 |
+115.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.645 |
$644.99 |
$220.00 |
+51.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
1,750 |
0.365 |
$638.60 |
$-287.32 |
-31.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
3,364 |
0.165 |
$555.02 |
$145.42 |
+35.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
13,435 |
0.037 |
$497.08 |
$-96.06 |
-16.2% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.955 |
$477.26 |
$32.25 |
+7.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
750 |
0.625 |
$468.76 |
$423.76 |
+941.7% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? |
No |
490 |
0.861 |
$421.76 |
$37.01 |
+9.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
690 |
0.535 |
$369.16 |
$-90.13 |
-19.6% |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
22,168 |
0.016 |
$354.68 |
$259.72 |
+273.5% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
750 |
0.460 |
$345.00 |
$295.08 |
+591.0% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.166 |
$331.00 |
$263.28 |
+388.7% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
690 |
0.465 |
$320.93 |
$93.17 |
+40.9% |