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Trader leaderboard/alpha.chen

alpha.chen

0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$80
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$894
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
39W / 36L · 134 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
108W / 101L
Trades (30d)
209
across 28 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$8.02
avg win $107 · loss $140
Profit Factor
1.14
$640 won / $559 lost
Reward / Risk
0.76
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,786 · all-time $448,641

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 67.8% 166W/79L 74 $45,099
🏛 Politics 63.6% 7W/4L 13 $5,737
💵 Economy 95.7% 22W/1L 10 $4,300
🎬 Culture 1 $56
🔬 Science 1 $56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 4,361 0.940 $4,098.95 $265.25 +6.9%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 2,826 0.875 $2,472.78 $70.65 +2.9%
Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 2,526 0.910 $2,298.24 $71.80 +3.2%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes 2,637 0.422 $1,112.72 $-797.34 -41.7%
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 1,507 0.720 $1,084.75 $-172.08 -13.7%
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 846 0.960 $811.40 $77.53 +10.6%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 250 0.770 $192.50 $78.00 +68.1%
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 101 0.865 $87.02 $1.51 +1.8%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes 94 0.810 $76.02 $7.51 +11.0%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No 60 0.933 $55.95 $9.80 +21.2%
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? Yes 20 0.900 $18.00 $3.00 +20.0%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 24 0.715 $16.98 $-2.98 -14.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? Yes 57 0.191 $10.89 $2.34 +27.3%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 10 0.935 $9.35 $0.75 +8.7%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 9 0.981 $9.21 $1.56 +20.3%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? Yes 10 0.845 $8.45 $0.45 +5.6%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 10 0.795 $7.95 $0.95 +13.6%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 10 0.745 $7.45 $-0.55 -6.9%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.745 $7.45 $0.45 +6.4%
Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 10 0.685 $6.85 $-0.85 -11.0%
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? Yes 10 0.610 $6.10 $0.10 +1.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 10 0.604 $6.04 $-0.06 -1.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.515 $5.15 $0.85 +19.8%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? Yes 10 0.415 $4.15 $-2.35 -36.2%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 10 0.085 $0.85 $-4.25 -83.3%