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Trader leaderboard/alpha.chen

alpha.chen

0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$534
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
96W / 64L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
108W / 64L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
173
across 29 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$24.26
avg win $113 · loss $319
Profit Factor
0.76
$1,698 won / $2,232 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$61
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,283 · all-time $453,138

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.9% 175W/79L 77 $49,310
🏛 Politics 63.6% 7W/4L 15 $7,419
💵 Economy 96.3% 26W/1L 10 $6,213
🎬 Culture 1 $56
🔬 Science 1 $56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 4,361 0.935 $4,077.15 $243.44 +6.3%
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 2,826 0.875 $2,472.78 $70.65 +2.9%
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 2,012 0.745 $1,498.68 $-134.76 -8.2%
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? Yes 1,446 0.927 $1,341.30 $43.43 +3.3%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes 2,637 0.395 $1,041.53 $-868.54 -45.5%
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 846 0.975 $824.08 $90.21 +12.3%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 250 0.830 $207.50 $93.00 +81.2%
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 101 0.870 $87.52 $2.01 +2.4%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes 94 0.805 $75.55 $7.04 +10.3%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No 60 0.930 $55.75 $9.59 +20.8%
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? Yes 20 0.885 $17.70 $2.70 +18.0%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 24 0.716 $17.02 $-2.95 -14.8%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? Yes 57 0.200 $11.40 $2.85 +33.3%
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes 10 0.960 $9.60 $1.00 +11.6%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 9 0.986 $9.26 $1.60 +20.9%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? Yes 10 0.840 $8.40 $0.40 +5.0%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 10 0.795 $7.95 $0.95 +13.6%
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? Yes 10 0.785 $7.85 $-0.15 -1.9%
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.745 $7.45 $0.45 +6.4%
Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 10 0.730 $7.30 $-0.40 -5.2%
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? Yes 10 0.675 $6.75 $-0.15 -2.2%
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 10 0.655 $6.55 $-0.45 -6.4%
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections? Yes 10 0.610 $6.10 $0.10 +1.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 10 0.605 $6.04 $-0.05 -0.9%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 10 0.515 $5.15 $0.85 +19.8%