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Trader leaderboard/lug

lug

0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$34,336
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$316
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+17.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
731W / 669L · 52 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
783W / 669L
Trades (30d)
1,452
across 72 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
+$497.63
avg win $2,975 · loss $2,722
Profit Factor
1.42
$116,008 won / $81,672 lost
Reward / Risk
1.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3,000
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,492 · all-time $22,438,406

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.6% 1,084W/767L 127 $422,388
🏛 Politics 100.0% 17W/0L 9 $27,103
⚽ Sports 76.7% 33W/10L 8 $14,071
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 3 $9,061
🎬 Culture 1 $4,600

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 26,794 0.845 $22,640.87 $2,729.10 +13.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 18,309 0.945 $17,301.62 $1,769.51 +11.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 15,000 0.865 $12,975.00 $800.40 +6.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 15,000 0.755 $11,324.97 $-729.91 -6.1%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 13,754 0.715 $9,833.77 $836.27 +9.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 5,000 0.973 $4,864.92 $315.00 +6.9%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 5,000 0.925 $4,625.00 $25.00 +0.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 5,000 0.865 $4,325.00 $75.00 +1.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5,000 0.845 $4,225.00 $1,575.00 +59.4%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 3,985 0.962 $3,833.87 $486.21 +14.5%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 3,998 0.860 $3,438.40 $199.91 +6.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 5,000 0.655 $3,275.00 $-275.00 -7.7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 40,000 0.049 $1,939.99 $-20.00 -1.0%
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No 1,923 0.954 $1,834.02 $115.11 +6.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 2,000 0.825 $1,650.00 $90.00 +5.8%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No 1,850 0.860 $1,591.00 $-62.50 -3.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 3,000 0.525 $1,574.96 $254.99 +19.3%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 3,000 0.485 $1,455.00 $-15.00 -1.0%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4,000 0.353 $1,414.00 $-230.00 -14.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10,000 0.135 $1,345.00 $965.00 +253.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6,000 0.144 $867.00 $39.00 +4.7%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1,000 0.823 $822.52 $689.51 +518.4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 1,228 0.545 $669.28 $92.10 +16.0%
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026? No 648 0.945 $612.35 $37.12 +6.5%
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins DIA Ozarox Esports 427 1.000 $426.89 $119.38 +38.8%