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lug

0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
41W / 0L
Trades (30d)
41
across 1 markets · ~41 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $32,478 · all-time $22,438,392

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.6% 1,084W/767L 126 $422,046
🏛 Politics 100.0% 17W/0L 10 $32,462
⚽ Sports 76.7% 33W/10L 7 $13,744
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 3 $9,061
🎬 Culture 1 $4,600

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 26,794 0.835 $22,372.93 $2,461.16 +12.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 18,309 0.945 $17,301.62 $1,769.51 +11.4%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 15,000 0.865 $12,975.00 $800.40 +6.6%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 15,000 0.750 $11,249.97 $-804.91 -6.7%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 13,754 0.715 $9,833.77 $836.27 +9.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 5,000 0.972 $4,859.92 $310.00 +6.8%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 5,000 0.925 $4,625.00 $25.00 +0.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 5,000 0.875 $4,375.00 $125.00 +2.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 5,000 0.785 $3,925.00 $1,275.00 +48.1%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 4,000 0.964 $3,854.00 $494.00 +14.7%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 3,998 0.850 $3,398.42 $159.93 +4.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 5,000 0.635 $3,175.00 $-375.00 -10.6%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 40,000 0.050 $1,979.99 $20.00 +1.0%
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No 1,923 0.966 $1,857.10 $138.19 +8.0%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 2,000 0.825 $1,650.00 $90.00 +5.8%
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No 1,850 0.860 $1,591.00 $-62.50 -3.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 3,000 0.515 $1,544.96 $224.99 +17.0%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 3,000 0.485 $1,455.00 $-15.00 -1.0%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4,000 0.356 $1,426.00 $-218.00 -13.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10,000 0.135 $1,345.00 $965.00 +253.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6,000 0.143 $861.00 $33.00 +4.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1,000 0.823 $822.52 $689.51 +518.4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 1,228 0.545 $669.28 $92.10 +16.0%
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026? No 648 0.950 $615.59 $40.36 +7.0%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No 493 0.775 $382.22 $7.40 +2.0%