PnL (30d)

−$601

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$12

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

577W / 319L · 5 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

582W / 319L

Trades (30d)

901

across 129 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$4.74

avg win $22 · loss $201

Profit Factor

0.80

$2,410 won / $3,011 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$528

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.4% 577W/319L	129	$45,561
🌤 Weather	93.5% 87W/6L	18	$6,818

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	552	0.135	$74.23	$-9.49	-11.3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	36	0.970	$35.32	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	194	0.095	$18.40	$-23.28	-55.8%