Marty-Byrde
0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$591
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$121
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
3%
2W / 65L · 1,067 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
330W / 789L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
1,134
across 22 markets · ~52 per market
EV / position
−$147.81
avg win $0 · loss $197
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $592 lost
Reward / Risk
0.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,450 · all-time $7,037,164
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
1,424 |
0.345 |
$491.00 |
$38.05 |
+8.4% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
528 |
0.745 |
$393.36 |
$-0.79 |
-0.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,111 |
0.184 |
$204.98 |
$-1.67 |
-0.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
305 |
0.545 |
$166.07 |
$1.52 |
+0.9% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
477 |
0.298 |
$142.36 |
$-3.10 |
-2.1% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
183 |
0.585 |
$107.06 |
$44.18 |
+70.3% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
581 |
0.101 |
$58.36 |
$0.29 |
+0.5% |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
59 |
0.775 |
$45.93 |
$2.65 |
+6.1% |
| No one announced as next James Bond? |
Yes |
189 |
0.206 |
$39.01 |
$0.62 |
+1.6% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
31 |
0.650 |
$19.95 |
$0.18 |
+0.9% |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.415 |
$6.22 |
$0.52 |
+9.2% |