PnL (30d)

+$603

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$360

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

1,338W / 1,224L · 1,486 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

1,917W / 2,079L · 52 open

Trades (30d)

4,048

across 129 markets · ~31 per market

EV / position

+$7.02

avg win $70 · loss $59

Profit Factor

1.24

$3,101 won / $2,498 lost

Reward / Risk

1.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	52.2% 1,338W/1,224L	129	$436,321
🏛 Politics	50.0% 2W/2L	15	$14,366
⚽ Sports	69.2% 9W/4L	11	$6,606
🎬 Culture	—	4	$737
💵 Economy	50.0% 2W/2L	4	$1,032
₿ Crypto	—	2	$283

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	1,424	0.345	$491.00	$38.05	+8.4%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	528	0.746	$393.89	$-0.26	-0.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,111	0.184	$204.98	$-1.67	-0.8%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	477	0.298	$142.36	$-3.10	-2.1%
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	183	0.555	$101.56	$38.69	+61.5%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	582	0.101	$58.47	$0.29	+0.5%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	59	0.775	$45.93	$2.65	+6.1%
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	189	0.206	$39.01	$0.62	+1.6%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	31	0.640	$19.65	$-0.13	-0.6%
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5	0.405	$2.02	$0.12	+6.6%