PnL (30d)

−$30

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

111W / 188L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

121W / 188L

Trades (30d)

309

across 41 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$0.76

avg win $2 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.41

$21 won / $51 lost

Reward / Risk

0.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$32

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.1% 448W/904L	188	$2,462
🌤 Weather	39.2% 94W/146L	32	$483
💵 Economy	—	1	$45
🤖 Tech	—	1	$45

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,295	0.015	$82.07	$-116.02	-58.6%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	24	0.285	$6.84	$0.52	+8.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6?	Yes	12	0.265	$3.18	$-0.06	-1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	4	0.335	$1.34	$-0.10	-6.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	2	0.275	$0.55	$-0.02	-3.5%