PnL (30d)

−$131

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

448W / 904L · 72 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

487W / 929L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

1,424

across 188 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$0.75

avg win $3 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.56

$169 won / $300 lost

Reward / Risk

0.90

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$133

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.1% 448W/904L	188	$2,462
🌤 Weather	41.4% 103W/146L	33	$507
💵 Economy	—	1	$45
🤖 Tech	—	1	$45

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5,295	0.017	$87.36	$-110.72	-55.9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	24	0.280	$6.72	$0.40	+6.3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 6?	Yes	4	0.370	$1.48	$0.04	+2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	2	0.265	$0.53	$-0.04	-7.0%