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Trader leaderboard/SPLPB

SPLPB

0xdf0e455ca4896232ba935a8176e5e8cfbb38c02b
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$539
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$700
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
10%
35W / 315L · 322 open
Win Return (30d)
7%
44W / 568L · 60 open
Trades (30d)
672
across 161 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$7.18
avg win $1 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.01
$5 won / $544 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$77
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $75,276 · all-time $1,532,036

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.7% 489W/2,834L 1665 $214,387
🏛 Politics 17.0% 8W/39L 146 $12,391
💵 Economy 24.5% 12W/37L 84 $7,555
🎬 Culture 24.1% 14W/44L 67 $7,226
⚽ Sports 37.2% 16W/27L 66 $6,677
🤖 Tech 21.0% 13W/49L 42 $4,121
₿ Crypto 38.5% 5W/8L 22 $2,812
🔬 Science 4 $295

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 500 0.235 $117.50 $-32.50 -21.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1,566 0.075 $117.45 $-23.49 -16.7%
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? Yes 211 0.507 $107.06 $-10.25 -8.7%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 225 0.340 $76.50 $-56.25 -42.4%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No 240 0.225 $54.00 $-18.00 -25.0%
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 150 0.355 $53.25 $-30.75 -36.6%
Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? No 66 0.740 $48.81 $-0.49 -1.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 56 0.845 $47.32 $-2.52 -5.1%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 68 0.695 $47.23 $-2.07 -4.2%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 193 0.241 $46.61 $-2.22 -4.5%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 65 0.705 $45.82 $-3.58 -7.2%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 119 0.385 $45.81 $-4.17 -8.3%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No 72 0.635 $45.72 $-3.96 -8.0%
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No 66 0.690 $45.53 $-3.97 -8.0%
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 70 0.625 $43.75 $-5.95 -12.0%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 64 0.680 $43.52 $-5.76 -11.7%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? Yes 94 0.445 $41.85 $-8.00 -16.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? No 60 0.685 $41.10 $-6.90 -14.4%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Ilbirs eSports 172 0.235 $40.42 $-9.46 -19.0%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? No 64 0.628 $40.19 $-9.15 -18.5%
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 118 0.335 $39.53 $-12.39 -23.9%
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes 73 0.535 $39.05 $-10.59 -21.3%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 95 0.401 $37.87 $-9.50 -20.1%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 251 0.145 $36.39 $-1.25 -3.3%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? No 50 0.725 $36.24 $-1.55 -4.1%