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Trader leaderboard/SPLPB

SPLPB

0xdf0e455ca4896232ba935a8176e5e8cfbb38c02b
PnL (30d)
−$3,984
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7,569
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
489W / 2,834L · 4,843 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
927W / 6,638L · 601 open
Trades (30d)
8,166
across 1,664 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$6.92
avg win $2 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.04
$149 won / $4,133 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$920
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $73,737 · all-time $1,530,497

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 14.7% 489W/2,834L 1664 $214,371
🏛 Politics 19.7% 13W/53L 165 $15,557
💵 Economy 31.2% 20W/44L 94 $9,738
🎬 Culture 24.7% 19W/58L 82 $8,169
⚽ Sports 5.0% 3W/57L 70 $7,806
🤖 Tech 83.6% 61W/12L 49 $5,363
₿ Crypto 27.8% 5W/13L 23 $3,093
🔬 Science 4 $295

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 500 0.235 $117.50 $-32.50 -21.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 1,566 0.075 $117.45 $-23.49 -16.7%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 225 0.350 $78.75 $-54.00 -40.7%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No 240 0.225 $54.00 $-18.00 -25.0%
Will Karmine Corp Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? No 66 0.740 $48.81 $-0.49 -1.0%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 56 0.845 $47.32 $-2.52 -5.1%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 68 0.686 $46.69 $-2.62 -5.3%
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 193 0.241 $46.61 $-2.22 -4.5%
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No 65 0.710 $46.15 $-3.25 -6.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 119 0.385 $45.81 $-4.17 -8.3%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No 72 0.635 $45.72 $-3.96 -8.0%
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? No 66 0.690 $45.53 $-3.97 -8.0%
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 70 0.625 $43.75 $-5.95 -12.0%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 64 0.680 $43.52 $-5.76 -11.7%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? No 60 0.685 $41.10 $-6.90 -14.4%
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? Yes 94 0.435 $40.91 $-8.94 -17.9%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? No 64 0.632 $40.47 $-8.87 -18.0%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Ilbirs eSports 172 0.235 $40.42 $-9.46 -19.0%
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 118 0.335 $39.53 $-12.39 -23.9%
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? Yes 73 0.535 $39.05 $-10.59 -21.3%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 95 0.401 $37.92 $-9.46 -20.0%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 251 0.145 $36.39 $-1.25 -3.3%
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? No 50 0.725 $36.24 $-1.55 -4.1%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? No 151 0.230 $34.73 $-15.10 -30.3%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes 170 0.203 $34.58 $-15.23 -30.6%