wisechinaman
0xdec2a6879cf654e6bc2c0e125f65b2fa3e27b015
PnL (30d)
+$1,952
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$114
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+22.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
136W / 190L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
139W / 200L
Trades (30d)
339
across 70 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$30.49
avg win $136 · loss $68
Profit Factor
1.87
$4,202 won / $2,250 lost
Reward / Risk
1.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$729
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,723 · all-time $712,454
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5,000 |
0.883 |
$4,417.50 |
$1,917.50 |
+76.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.117 |
$582.50 |
$-1,917.50 |
-76.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.565 |
$564.90 |
$34.90 |
+6.6% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
No |
800 |
0.435 |
$348.00 |
$110.00 |
+46.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,200 |
0.043 |
$137.28 |
$-518.71 |
-79.1% |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? |
Yes |
113 |
0.485 |
$54.88 |
$-27.55 |
-33.4% |